Opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election
This article covers opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election.
Opinion polling in Philippines is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, OCTA Research, and other pollsters.
Those who win outright are in bold. Those that are within the margin of error are in italics.
Survey details change
Date/s administered | Pollster | Sample size | Margin of error | Major issues when poll was administered |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mar 6–10, 2024[1][2] | Pulse Asia | 1,200 | ±2.8% | \ |
Dec 10–14, 2023[3] | OCTA Research | 1,200 | ±3.0% | |
Apr 15–18, 2023[4] | SWS | 1,200 | ±3.0% |
|
Per candidate change
By voter preferences change
2023–24 change
Candidate | Party | Apr 15–18, 2023 SWS[4] |
Dec 10–14, 2023 OCTA Research[3] |
Mar 6–10, 2024 Pulse Asia[1] |
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benjamin Abalos Jr. | PFP | 8% | 18% | 12.9% | ||
Bam Aquino | KANP | 7% | – | 17.3% | ||
Herbert Bautista | NPC | 8% | – | 11.0% | ||
Abigail Binay | NPC | – | – | 29.1% | ||
Jejomar Binay | UNA | 15% | 25% | – | ||
Pia Cayetano | Nacionalista | 23% | 30% | 37.7% | ||
Dingdong Dantes | Independent | – | – | 10.9% | ||
Ronald dela Rosa | PDP | 9% | 47% | 33.2% | ||
Chel Diokno | KANP | 7% | – | 11.2% | ||
Franklin Drilon | Liberal | 8% | – | 16.1% | ||
Paolo Duterte | HNP | – | – | 13.1% | ||
Rodrigo Duterte | PDP | 25% | – | 47.7% | ||
Sebastian Duterte | HNP | – | – | 13.5% | ||
Guillermo Eleazar | Reporma | 7% | – | 10.4% | ||
Ted Failon | Independent | – | – | 14.6% | ||
Rex Gatchalian | NPC | 10% | – | – | ||
Bong Go | PDP | 20% | 53% | 44.2% | ||
Richard Gomez | PFP | 7% | – | 11.6% | ||
Dick Gordon | Bagumbayan–VNP | 6% | – | 14.8% | ||
Gregorio Honasan | Independent | 10% | 18% | 17.5% | ||
Panfilo Lacson | Independent | 16% | 32% | 28.6% | ||
Lito Lapid | NPC | 17% | 20% | 25.4% | ||
Imee Marcos | Nacionalista | 18% | 42% | 33.1% | ||
Isko Moreno | Aksyon | 14% | 32% | 31.5% | ||
Willie Ong | Aksyon | – | 17% | 24.6% | ||
Manny Pacquiao | PROMDI | 19% | 28% | 33.7% | ||
Francis Pangilinan | Liberal | 8% | – | 22.2% | ||
Ralph Recto | Nacionalista | 7% | – | 18.8% | ||
Bong Revilla | Lakas | 13% | 35% | 29.6% | ||
Willie Revillame | Independent | – | 18% | 25.9% | ||
Leni Robredo | Liberal | 10% | – | 13.6% | ||
Mar Roxas | Liberal | 10% | – | 13.6% | ||
Tito Sotto | NPC | 18% | 48% | 51.8% | ||
Vico Sotto | Independent | 18% | – | – | ||
Gilbert Teodoro | PRP | 5% | 19% | 15.2% | ||
Francis Tolentino | PDP | 6% | 33% | 16.7% | ||
Antonio Trillanes | Liberal | 6% | – | 13.0% | ||
Ben Tulfo | Independent | – | – | 30.5% | ||
Erwin Tulfo | Independent | 32% | 76% | 57.1% | ||
Don't know | 3% | 3.5% | ||||
Refused | 4% | 1.7% | ||||
None | 7% | 1.0% | ||||
Invalid votes (13 or more names) |
By ranking change
2023–24 change
Candidate | Party | Apr 15–18, 2023 SWS[4] |
Dec 10–14, 2023 OCTA Research[3] |
Mar 6–10, 2024 Pulse Asia[1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benjamin Abalos Jr. | PFP | 20–23 | 13–24 | 21–37 | |
Bam Aquino | KANP | 24–28 | – | 18–28 | |
Herbert Bautista | NPC | 20–23 | – | 24–40 | |
Abigail Binay | NPC | – | – | 6–16 | |
Jejomar Binay | UNA | 11 | 10–13 | – | |
Pia Cayetano | Nacionalista | 3 | 6–12 | 5–7 | |
Dingdong Dantes | Independent | – | – | 24–40 | |
Ronald dela Rosa | PDP | 18–19 | 3–5 | 5–13 | |
Chel Diokno | KANP | 24–28 | – | 24–40 | |
Franklin Drilon | Liberal | 20–23 | – | 18–31 | |
Paolo Duterte | HNP | – | – | 21–36 | |
Rodrigo Duterte | PDP | 2 | – | 2–4 | |
Sebastian Duterte | HNP | – | – | 19–36 | |
Guillermo Eleazar | Reporma | 24–28 | – | 26–40 | |
Ted Failon | Independent | – | – | 18–35 | |
Rex Gatchalian | NPC | 14–17 | – | – | |
Bong Go | PDP | 4 | 2–3 | 3–4 | |
Richard Gomez | PFP | 24–28 | – | 23–40 | |
Dick Gordon | Bagumbayan–VNP | 29–34 | – | 18–35 | |
Gregorio Honasan | Independent | 14–17 | 13–24 | 18–28 | |
Panfilo Lacson | Independent | 10 | 6–11 | 6–16 | |
Lito Lapid | NPC | 9 | 12–22 | 10–17 | |
Imee Marcos | Nacionalista | 6–8 | 4–5 | 6–13 | |
Isko Moreno | Aksyon | 12 | 6–11 | 6–13 | |
Willie Ong | Aksyon | – | 13–28 | 11–17 | |
Manny Pacquiao | PROMDI | 5 | 7–12 | 5–13 | |
Francis Pangilinan | Liberal | 20–23 | – | 14–18 | |
Ralph Recto | Nacionalista | 24–28 | – | 17–25 | |
Bong Revilla | Lakas | 13 | 6–10 | 6–16 | |
Willie Revillame | Independent | – | 13–24 | 10–17 | |
Leni Robredo | Liberal | 14–17 | – | 19–36 | |
Mar Roxas | Liberal | 14–17 | – | 19–36 | |
Tito Sotto | NPC | 6–8 | 2–4 | 1–3 | |
Vico Sotto | Independent | 6–8 | – | – | |
Gilbert Teodoro | PRP | 35–38 | 13–24 | 18–32 | |
Francis Tolentino | PDP | 29–34 | 6–11 | 18–31 | |
Antonio Trillanes | Liberal | 29–34 | – | 21–37 | |
Ben Tulfo | Independent | – | – | 6–15 | |
Erwin Tulfo | Independent | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
Per party change
- Parties (excluding independents) with the plurality of seats in boldface.
- Parties (excluding independents) with the majority of seats are shaded by the party color.
Seats won change
- Totals may not add up to 12 due to margin of error.
Date | Pollster | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | ||||||||||||||||
Mar 6–10, 2024 | Pulse Asia[1] | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |||
2023 | ||||||||||||||||
Dec 10–14, 2023 | OCTA Research[3] | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
Apr 15–18, 2023 | SWS[4] | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Seats after the election change
Totals may not add up to 24 due to margin of error.
Date | Pollster | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | |||||||||||||||||||
Mar 6–10, 2024 | Pulse Asia[1] | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | ||||
2023 | |||||||||||||||||||
Dec 10–14, 2023 | OCTA Research[3] | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | ||||
Apr 15–18, 2023 | SWS[4] | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
Per coalition change
Coalitions are expected to release 12-person slates for the election by the start of campaigning on February 2025. On this section will be the surveys done after that day.
Date | Pollster | Others |
---|---|---|
Mar 6–10, 2024 | Pulse Asia[1] | 2 |
Apr 15–18, 2023 | SWS[4] | 3 |
Sources change
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 "March 2024 Nationwide Survey on 2025 Senatorial Election". Pulse Asia. March 6–10, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
- ↑ "Pulse Asia: Erwin Tulfo, Tito Sotto, Rodrigo Duterte top latest senatorial poll". GMA Network. April 2, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 De Vera-Ruiz, Ellalyn (January 2, 2024). "Erwin Tulfo still top bet for 2025 senatorial race — OCTA". Manila Bulletin. Retrieved March 29, 2024.
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 "SWS confirms survey for Mr. Arnel Ty on voting preferences for Senators (aided)". SWS. June 13, 2023. Retrieved November 21, 2023.