Opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election
This article covers opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election.
Opinion polling in Philippines is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, OCTA Research, and other pollsters.
Those who win outright are in bold. Those that are within the margin of error are in italics.
This list includes all individuals named by at least 10% of respondents in any of the surveys.
Calendar
change- Filing of candidacies: October 1 to 8, 2024
- Campaign period for nationally elected positions: February 11 to May 10, 2025
- Campaign period for locally elected positions: March 28 to May 10, 2025
- Election day: May 12, 2025
Survey details
change| Date/s administered | Pollster | Sample size | Margin of error | Major issues when poll was administered |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14–23, 2024[1] | SWS | 1,500 | ±2.5% | |
| Sep 6–13, 2024[2] | Pulse Asia | 2,400 | ±2.0% | |
| Jun 17–24, 2024[3][4] | Pulse Asia | 2,400 | ±2.1% | |
| Mar 6–10, 2024[5][6] | Pulse Asia | 1,200 | ±2.8% | |
| Dec 10–14, 2023[7] | OCTA Research | 1,200 | ±3.0% | |
| Apr 15–18, 2023[8] | SWS | 1,200 | ±3.0% |
|
Per candidate
changeBy voter preferences
changeOctober 2024–February 2025
change| Candidate | Party | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Benhur Abalos | PFP | ||
| Bam Aquino | KANP | ||
| Abigail Binay | NPC | ||
| Pia Cayetano | Nacionalista | ||
| Ronald dela Rosa | PDP | ||
| Bong Go | PDP | ||
| Gregorio Honasan | Reform PH | ||
| Panfilo Lacson | Independent | ||
| Lito Lapid | NPC | ||
| Imee Marcos | Nacionalista | ||
| Willie Ong | Aksyon | ||
| Manny Pacquiao | PFP | ||
| Francis Pangilinan | Liberal | ||
| Bong Revilla | Lakas | ||
| Willie Revillame | Independent | ||
| Tito Sotto | NPC | ||
| Francis Tolentino | PFP | ||
| Ben Tulfo | Independent | ||
| Erwin Tulfo | Lakas | ||
| Camille Villar | Nacionalista | ||
| Don't know | |||
| Refused | |||
| None | |||
| Invalid votes (13 or more names) | |||
2023–October 2024
change| Candidate | Party | Apr 15–18, 2023 SWS[8] |
Dec 10–14, 2023 OCTA Research[7] |
Mar 6–10, 2024 Pulse Asia[5][6] |
Jun 17–24, 2024 Pulse Asia[3][4] |
Sep 6–13, 2024 Pulse Asia[2] |
Sep 14–23, 2024 SWS[1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benhur Abalos | PFP | 8% | 18% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 14% | |
| Bam Aquino | KANP | 7% | – | 17.3% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 14% | |
| Herbert Bautista | NPC | 8% | – | 11.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7% | |
| Abigail Binay | NPC | – | – | 29.1% | 18.9% | 37.5% | 20% | |
| Jejomar Binay | UNA | 15% | 25% | – | – | – | – | |
| Pia Cayetano | Nacionalista | 23% | 30% | 37.7% | 42.7% | 41.3% | 31% | |
| Dingdong Dantes | Independent | – | – | 10.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | – | |
| Ronald dela Rosa | PDP | 9% | 47% | 33.2% | 31.3% | 26.2% | 18% | |
| Chel Diokno | Akbayan | 7% | – | 11.2% | – | 7.0% | 7% | |
| Franklin Drilon | Liberal | 8% | – | 16.1% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 12% | |
| Paolo Duterte | HNP | – | – | 13.1% | 13.8% | 16.3% | – | |
| Rodrigo Duterte | PDP | 25% | – | 47.7% | 38.7% | 38.0% | 25% | |
| Sebastian Duterte | PDP | – | – | 13.5% | 14.9% | 19.1% | – | |
| Guillermo Eleazar | Reporma | 7% | – | 10.4% | 9.8% | 5.4% | – | |
| Ted Failon | Independent | – | – | 14.6% | 18.8% | 12.2% | – | |
| Rex Gatchalian | NPC | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Bong Go | PDP | 20% | 53% | 44.2% | 36.6% | 40.3% | 18% | |
| Richard Gomez | PFP | 7% | – | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | – | |
| Dick Gordon | Bagumbayan–VNP | 6% | – | 14.8% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 10% | |
| Gregorio Honasan | Independent | 10% | 18% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 21.5% | 13% | |
| Panfilo Lacson | Independent | 16% | 32% | 28.6% | 32.2% | 35.5% | 24% | |
| Lito Lapid | NPC | 17% | 20% | 25.4% | 21.4% | 24.7% | 20% | |
| Imee Marcos | Nacionalista | 18% | 42% | 33.1% | 33.8% | 29.8% | 25% | |
| Isko Moreno | Aksyon | 14% | 32% | 31.5% | 31.7% | – | – | |
| Willie Ong | Aksyon | – | 17% | 24.6% | 18.3% | 19.8% | – | |
| Manny Pacquiao | PFP | 19% | 28% | 33.7% | 33.5% | 31.9% | 18% | |
| Francis Pangilinan | Liberal | 8% | – | 22.2% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 15% | |
| Ralph Recto | Nacionalista | 7% | – | 18.8% | 15.8% | 12.5% | – | |
| Bong Revilla | Lakas | 13% | 35% | 29.6% | 29.9% | 35.9% | 24% | |
| Willie Revillame | Independent | – | 18% | 25.9% | – | – | 13% | |
| Leni Robredo | Liberal | 10% | – | 13.6% | – | – | 8% | |
| Mar Roxas | Liberal | 10% | – | 13.6% | 15.9% | 9.8% | – | |
| Korina Sanchez | Independent | – | – | – | 11.5% | 8.1% | – | |
| Vilma Santos | Nacionalista | – | – | – | 23.6% | 12.1% | – | |
| Tito Sotto | NPC | 18% | 48% | 51.8% | 50.4% | 48.0% | 34% | |
| Vico Sotto | Independent | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Gilbert Teodoro | PRP | 5% | 19% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 7% | |
| Francis Tolentino | PFP | 6% | 33% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 13.5% | 17% | |
| Antonio Trillanes | Aksyon | 6% | – | 13.0% | – | – | – | |
| Ben Tulfo | Independent | – | – | 30.5% | 40.9% | 49.6% | – | |
| Erwin Tulfo | Lakas | 32% | 76% | 57.1% | 58.0% | 60.8% | 54% | |
| Camille Villar | Nacionalista | – | – | – | – | 21.2% | 21% | |
| Don't know | 3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | ||||
| Refused | 4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | ||||
| None | 7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | ||||
| Invalid votes (13 or more names) | ||||||||
Per party
change- Parties (excluding independents) with the plurality of seats in boldface.
- Parties (excluding independents) with the majority of seats are shaded by the party color.
Seats won
change- Totals may not add up to 12 due to margin of error.
| Date | Pollster | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | ||||||||||||||||
| Sep 14–23, 2024 | SWS[1] | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Sep 6–13, 2024 | Pulse Asia[2] | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Jun 17–24, 2024 | Pulse Asia[3][4] | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |||
| Mar 6–10, 2024 | Pulse Asia[5][6] | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||||||
| Dec 10–14, 2023 | OCTA Research[7] | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Apr 15–18, 2023 | SWS[8] | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |||
Seats after the election
changeTotals may not add up to 24 due to margin of error.
| Date | Pollster | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Sep 14–23, 2024 | SWS[1] | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | ||||
| Sep 6–13, 2024 | Pulse Asia[2] | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | ||||
| Jun 17–24, 2024 | Pulse Asia[3][4] | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | ||||
| Mar 6–10, 2024 | Pulse Asia[5][6] | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | ||||
| 2023 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Dec 10–14, 2023 | OCTA Research[7] | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | ||||
| Apr 15–18, 2023 | SWS[8] | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | ||||
Per coalition
changeCoalitions are expected to release 12-person slates for the election by the start of campaigning on February 2025. On this section will be the surveys done after that day.
| Date | Pollster | Alyansa para sa Bagong Pilipinas | Hakbang ng Maisug | Oposisyon ng Bayan | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14–23, 2024 | SWS[1] | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 6–13, 2024 | Pulse Asia[2] | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Jun 17–24, 2024 | Pulse Asia[3][4] | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Mar 6–10, 2024 | Pulse Asia[5][6] | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Apr 15–18, 2023 | SWS[8] | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Sources
change- ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 "SWS confirms survey item for Stratbase Consultancy on voting preferences for Senators in the 2025 elections". Social Weather Stations. October 1, 2024. Retrieved October 3, 2024.
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 "September 2024 Ulat ng Bayan Senatorial Pre-Election Preference probe". Pulse Asia. September 2024. Retrieved October 2, 2024.
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 "June 2024 Ulat ng Bayan Senatorial Pre-Election Preference probe". Pulse Asia. June 17–24, 2024. Retrieved July 15, 2024.
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 "Erwin Tulfo tops Pulse Asia senatorial survey in June". GMA Network. July 12, 2024. Retrieved July 15, 2024.
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 "March 2024 Nationwide Survey on 2025 Senatorial Election". Pulse Asia. March 6–10, 2024. Retrieved April 3, 2024.
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 "Pulse Asia: Erwin Tulfo, Tito Sotto, Rodrigo Duterte top latest senatorial poll". GMA Network. April 2, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 De Vera-Ruiz, Ellalyn (January 2, 2024). "Erwin Tulfo still top bet for 2025 senatorial race — OCTA". Manila Bulletin. Retrieved March 29, 2024.
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 "SWS confirms survey for Mr. Arnel Ty on voting preferences for Senators (aided)". SWS. June 13, 2023. Retrieved November 21, 2023.