45th Canadian federal election

45th Canadian federal election
← List of House members of the 44th Parliament of Canada
338 seats in the House of Commons; 170 seats needed for a majority
	Opinion polls
Incumbent Prime Minister; Justin Trudeau; Liberal	; ;

The 45th Canadian federal election will take place on or before 20 October 2025 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

The date of the election is not yet known.^[1] Since the current government is a minority government, the election can happen before the scheduled date if the Governor General of Canada dissolves Parliament or at the recommendation of the Prime Minister of Canada for a snap election.^[2]^[3]^[4]

Current seats

Name		Ideology	Position	Leader	2021 result		Current standing
Name		Ideology	Position	Leader	Votes (%)	Seats	Current standing
	Liberal	Liberalism Social liberalism	Centre to centre-left	Justin Trudeau	32.62%	160 / 338	159 / 338
	Conservative	Conservatism Economic liberalism Fiscal conservatism	Centre-right to right-wing	Pierre Poilievre	33.74%	119 / 338	119 / 338
	Bloc Québécois	Quebec nationalism	Centre-left	Yves-François Blanchet	7.64%	32 / 338	32 / 338
	New Democratic	Social democracy Democratic socialism	Centre-left to left-wing	Jagmeet Singh	17.82%	25 / 338	25 / 338
	Green	Green politics		Amita Kuttner (Interim)	2.33%	2 / 338	2 / 338
	Independents	N/A			0.19%	0 / 338	1 / 338

Opinion polling

The current opinion polling for the 45th Canadian federal election

Notes

↑ A redistribution is required to take effect by 2024, which will increase the number of seats.
↑ Though parties registered with Elections Canada can field candidates in any riding they wish, the Bloc Québécois has never fielded candidates outside of Quebec (78 seats). Thus they currently cannot gain a majority in parliament.
↑ Ran in Beauce, lost.
↑ Ran in Burnaby North—Seymour in 2019, lost. Kuttner did not run in 2021.

References

↑ "Amendment to Canada Elections Act". Queen's Printer for Canada. November 6, 2006. Archived from the original on August 5, 2011. Retrieved July 29, 2011.
↑ Aiello, Rachel (October 24, 2019). "Split opposition means stronger minority for Liberals, experts say". CTV News. Retrieved October 25, 2019.
↑ Harris, Kathleen (October 21, 2020). "Snap election averted as Liberal government survives confidence vote in Commons". CBC News. Retrieved November 26, 2020.
↑ Coyne, Andrew (October 28, 2020). "What, exactly, is a non-confidence vote? Parliament should get to decide". The Globe and Mail. Retrieved November 26, 2020.

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[1] A redistribution is required to take effect by 2024, which will increase the number of seats.

[2] Though parties registered with Elections Canada can field candidates in any riding they wish, the Bloc Québécois has never fielded candidates outside of Quebec (78 seats). Thus they currently cannot gain a majority in parliament.

[3] Ran in Beauce, lost.

[4] Ran in Burnaby North—Seymour in 2019, lost. Kuttner did not run in 2021.

[C16-5] "Amendment to Canada Elections Act". Queen's Printer for Canada. November 6, 2006. Archived from the original on August 5, 2011. Retrieved July 29, 2011.

[6] Aiello, Rachel (October 24, 2019). "Split opposition means stronger minority for Liberals, experts say". CTV News. Retrieved October 25, 2019.

[7] Harris, Kathleen (October 21, 2020). "Snap election averted as Liberal government survives confidence vote in Commons". CBC News. Retrieved November 26, 2020.

[8] Coyne, Andrew (October 28, 2020). "What, exactly, is a non-confidence vote? Parliament should get to decide". The Globe and Mail. Retrieved November 26, 2020.

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